← Outpost ghent | store championship
Horse and TaxesTier 1
at Outpost ghent | store championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.9%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
57.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1421
· median 1421
· range 1421–1421
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1141
Q3 1377
1520
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 25.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 25.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
